Your daily bets for 8/4

🏆 Today’s Top Free Picks

• ⚾ MLB: BAL Orioles @ PHI Phillies

  Pick: Bet on Phillies to win -200 (3u)

  Analysis: The Phillies are at home today and heavy favorites today. The Phillies are sending out lefty Jesus Luzardo (9-5, 4.31 ERA, 140 K’s) to the mound. Luzardo’s advanced metrics show that he has been pitching better than his ERA shows (3.63 xERA, 2.98 FIP) and the Orioles hitters are the 6th worst team in baseball vs LHP with a .649 OPS. The Orioles are countering with LHP Cade Povich (2-5, 5.15 ERA) and is making his first start off the IL. Before his injury, his advanced metrics are amount the worst (6.33 xERA). Povich’s chase, whiff, barrel and hard hit %’s are in the bottom percentiles among pitchers. This Phillies lineup is top 10 vs LHP this season as well. As for bullpens, the Orioles pen is 6th worst in MLB (4.64 ERA) and while the Phillies pen isn’t far behind (4.48 ERA), they have just added all star closer Jhoan Duran and signed David Robertson. The Phillies are also great at Citizen Bank Park with a 35-20 home record (64%) while the Orioles are 24-34 on the road this season.

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📊 Previous Results

💰 Our Record: 2-0 (+6 units)

• ✅ Phillies to win -185 (2u)

• ✅ Diamondbacks to win -110 (4u)

Overall Record 301-216